Why are (were?) we importing oil from Russia?

In 2021, the US imported 700,000 barrels per day (BPD) of crude and refined products from Russia. Of this, 220,000 bpd are (were?) being used by Valero as feedstocks at their refineries in Norco LA. and Port Arthur Texas. These Russian barrels are classified as products, not crude oil. My conjecture is they serve as fluid catalytic cracker (FCC) feed.

Importing FCC feed from Russia is unusual. Most US refineries make their own FCC feed which can be done by turning different valves in the refinery. These two Valero refineries are probably configured in a way that makes the Russian feed especially attractive for them.

A primary reason for importing FCC feed would be to crack it to make high margin, low sulfur, high octane gasoline. So, on the surface, it seems that not having this feed might hurt Valero’s ability to produce gasoline for the US market and capture the very high gasoline margins available in the US today.

Both these refineries have gasoline desulfurizers which destroy octane when the FCC-cracked gasoline is desulfurized. Because of the Tier 3 octane/sulfur squeeze, this factor is far more important today than ever before and would influence Valero’s ability to source an equally-attractive feed.

So I am adding these two refineries to my list of those US refineries whose profitability could probably be improved considerably by improvements in the octane/sulfur peformance of their FCC- gasoline desulfurizer process train.

This is a theory I pieced together by connecting dots between bits of public information, so am eager to hear from anyone who has better information or disagrees with this theory. george.hoekstra@hoekstratrading.com

Recommendation

There are steps any refiner can take to immediately improve Tier 3 gasoline economics. And there are many more things they could do in the near-term to turn Tier 3 from a problem into a profit opportunity. Refiners affected by Tier 3 should buy the Hoekstra Research Report 8 and use it to help take a fresh look at their Tier 3 strategy. The cost is negligible. For most refiners, it costs only about 1 minute’s worth of your annual revenue to immediately get your arms around this important overlooked Tier 3 issue.

Hoekstra Research Report 8

Our three-year multi-client research project measured the effects of Tier 3 gasoline in pilot plant and commercial performance tests. We developed new methods and tools that helped our clients optimize performance of gasoline desulfurizers to avoid hidden hits to margin capture, and adopt profitable sulfur credit strategies. All our data and tools are available to anyone for immediate application at negligible cost. Please see this offer letter and join our client group today: Hoekstra-Trading-Offer-letter-Research-Report-8-refiners-under-1-MBD

Hoekstra Trading LLC

Categories